- Introduction to advanced financial analysis
- Users of financial data
- Content of the annual financial report
- Regional versus global standards
- Non-financial elements of the annual financial report and their importance
- Emotional and cognitive biases affecting analysts’ judgment
- Understanding the income statement, balance sheet and cash flow statement
- Other comprehensive income components
- Basics of industry analysis and analyzing ratios using Excel
- Top-down approach for analysis
- Macroeconomic factors to assess country exposure
- Indicators of GDP, unemployment rates, inflation and interest rates
- Deficit-to-GDP, debt-to-GDP and GDP growth rates
- Industry analysis: understanding Michael Porter’s five forces shaping an industry’s long-term profitability.
- Starbucks, Apple Inc., Nike and McDonald’s cases
- Common size analysis to improve comparability.
- Calculating trends and growth patterns
- Ratio analysis to assess key aspects of company performance:
- Profitability
- Liquidity
- Efficiency and working capital management.
- Financing structure and risk
- Altman Z-score to assess potential bankruptcy.
- Using graphical representation
- Financial cosmetics and creative accounting
- Signals to read from inventory balances.
- LIFO liquidation technique
- Valuing inventory at net realizable value: looking for signals of obsolete inventory
- Analyst’s consideration when examining inventory
- Evaluating how capitalizing versus expensing costs affect financial statements and ratios
- Interest capitalization
- Research and development costs capitalization
- Effect of different depreciation methods on financial statements
- Impairment of business units and operating segments
- Revaluation of long-lived assets
- The choice of an operating lease or finance lease
- Using special purpose vehicles for balance sheet manipulation
- Stock options and stock grants instead of bonuses
- Case study: creative accounting scandals of Enron, Worldcom, Parmalat
- Assessing the quality of financial reports
- Framework for assessing a company’s quality of financial reports
- Potential problems that affect the quality of financial reports
- Beneish model: M-score to describe the degree to which earnings are manipulated
- Evaluating the earnings quality of a company
- Evaluating the cash flow quality of a company
- Indicators of balance sheet quality
- Sources of information about risk
- Case study: investment decision at Nestle
- Financial forecasting techniques for analysts
- Revenue forecasting: bottom-up versus top-down
- Forecasting cost of goods sold
- Forecasting fixed and variable costs
- Forecasting balance sheet accounts
- Using days sales outstanding
- Using days of inventory on hand
- Using days of payables
- Fixed assets forecasting
- Retained earnings and dividend pay-out policy