McTimothy Associates

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Managing Equity Portfolios

Why Attend

This course is specifically designed to cover the key elements of portfolio construction for equities and equity-related products.  It includes an analysis of the relative suitability of the wide variety of equity instruments available for investors with various risk appetites and investment horizons.

A core focus of the course is a comprehensive review of the different kinds of strategic and tactical allocation strategies, returns forecasting and portfolio optimization approaches. In addition, there is an emphasis on performance attribution and numerous real-world examples of how risk management and hedging techniques can be applied to equity portfolios.

250,000.0000 VAT

Event Date: 25/09/2023 – 29/09/2023

Total:

  • Overview of Equities as an Asset Class
    • How does equity ownership compare to other financial claims?
    • Position of equity vis à vis other elements in corporate capital structure
    • Review of equity capital from an accounting perspective
    • Characteristics of ordinary, bearer and registered shares
      • Cumulative, participating, and convertible preference shares
      • Ranking for dividends and liquidation
    • Overview of the primary issuance of Equity Securities
    • Equity Markets and Trade Execution
      • Order driven/quote driven platforms
    • Warrants and Covered warrants
    • Contracts for Difference (CFD’s)
    • Overview of equity based collective investment vehicles
  • Primary Issuance, Clearing, Custody and Trading Of Equity Securities
    • Listing securities – the regulatory framework, investor disclosures
    • Structure and stages of an initial public offering (IPO)
    • Alternative routes for going public – direct listings, SPAC’s
      • Role of intermediaries, book building, pricing
      • Benefits for the issuer and investors
      • Underwritten versus best efforts
      • Oversubscribed issues and greenshoe options
    • Role of exchanges in providing secondary market facilities, platforms
    • Alternative Trading Venues
    • Multilateral Trading Facilities and dark pools
    • The meaning of ‘books closed’, ‘ex-div’ and ‘cum div’, cum, special ex, special cum, and ex rights
    • Explanation of the nature and objectives of High Frequency Trading (HFT)
    • Principles of Delivery versus Payment (DVP) and Free Delivery
    • International Central Securities Depositories (ICSD)
    • Examination of the role of Custodians/Nominees
    • Purpose, requirements and implications of securities lending SBLI’s
    • Short selling, collateral management, re-hypothecation etc.
  • Global Equities Markets/Indices
    • Principal indices/exchanges
    • Emerging and frontier markets
    • Classification systems of global equity markets – MSCI, FTSE
    • Historical survey of performance of main global equity indices
      • Historical P/E ratios
    • Regulatory and supervisory environment
      • Shareholder protections etc.
    • Structure and size of markets, volumes
    • Liquidity and transparency
    • Trading characteristics e.g. prevalence of off exchange activities
  • Financial Statement Analysis
    • Purpose, structure and use of balance sheets, income statements and cash flow statements
    • Key classes of financial ratios:
      • Profitability, Liquidity, Asset turnover, Gearing
      • Key Investor ratios
      • Earnings Per Share (EPS), P/E Ratios (historic and prospective), Price/Earnings-to-Growth (PEG) ratio
      • Dividend yield, Dividend/interest cover
    • Advantages and challenges of performing financial analysis
    • Comparing companies across and within sectors
    • Accounting for Corporate Actions
      • Stock and cash dividends
      • Rights issues, open offers, offers for subscription and for sale
      • Calculation of theoretical effect on the issuer’s share price of bonus/scrip, consolidation, rights issues
  • Corporate Valuation Methods
    • Fundamental equity valuation – Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) techniques
    • Models based on calculating the Present Value of future dividend flows
      • Simple Model
      • Multi-stage model
    • Comparing valuations across different sectors
    • What discount rate should be used in DCF models?
    • Determining the Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC)
    • What multiples should be used for individual companies, for overall market?
    • How to value high growth enterprises with no dividends
    • Sustainability of profits and commercial disruptions
    • Relationship of corporate valuations to underlying interest rate environment
    • Return on Equity (ROE) measurements – including risk-adjusted return on capital (RAROC)
    • Risk Adjusted valuations – incorporating beta into valuation methods
    • Importance of changes in the regulatory environment on valuation forecasting
  • Equity Allocation and Performance Attribution
    • Criteria for determining the relative allocations for equities, fixed income, alternative assets etc.
    • Contribution of each to overall portfolio return
      • Strategic versus tactical
      • Core versus satellite holdings
    • Active equity allocation – stock selection vs. passive investment
    • Relative performance of active managers to benchmarks
    • Performance attribution – allocation to specific securities vs. overall exposure to benchmarks
    • Examination of contrasting styles of Growth vs. Value investing
    • Warren Buffet’s investment philosophy
  • Portfolio Theory and the Risk/Return Trade Off
    • Cornerstones of Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM)
      • Securities market line (SML), beta, alpha, risk free rate etc.
      • The concept of the efficient frontier
      • Systematic Risk and idiosyncratic or specific Risk
    • Modern Portfolio Theory (MPT) and diversification
      • Markowitz model and covariance matrix analysis
    • Risk Adjusted Return
      • Sharpe Ratio, Sortino Ratio, Treynor Ratio, Calmar Ratio, Total Expense Ratio (TER)
      • Risk-adjusted return on capital (RAROC)
    • Difference between CAPM and Arbitrage Pricing Theory (APT)
    • Active and passive strategies – index tracking, stock picking, transaction costs
    • Hedging and use of derivatives in risk management
    • Survivorship bias phenomenon
  • Risk Budgeting
    • Explanation of risk premia – excess return or compensation for not holding riskless assets
    • Risk as a scarce resource and how to allocate exposures according to risk premia and expected returns
    • Statistical distributions for modelling probability structures
    • Benchmarks and tracking errors – active versus passive risk
    • Recognizing importance of drawdowns – holding periods, needs for liquidity
    • Expected returns from a risk-budgeting perspective
    • Obligations to market – trading book, Basel III approaches
    • Calculations and mechanics of standard deviation / tracking error/ M 2 / beta
    • Value at Risk – methodologies, Expected Shortfall, Extreme Value Theory
  • Exchange Traded Funds (ETF’s)
    • Compare availability and range of ETF’s traded on US, European platforms
    • Number of funds, assets under management, growth trajectories
    • Contrast features of ETF’s to other collective investment vehicles (CIV’s)
    • Fiduciary/trust architectures, role of sponsors, creation units
    • Contrast passive index tracker ETF’s (the majority) with actively managed funds
    • Examination of MSCI geographical indices which many ETF’s track
    • Features of inverse ETF’s, leveraged funds
    • Contrast between funds which hold “physicals” versus those which are synthetic – hold futures, swaps, structured products.
    • Replication strategies – stratified sampling vs. full replication, use of synthetics
    • Examination of tracking error for exchange traded products
    • Risks associated with ETF’s, liquidity risk, risks with synthetic ETF’s
  • Special Risk Factors for Emerging Market Equities
    • Examination of how capital flows into emerging markets are influenced by the intention of central banks especially Federal Reserve to push asset managers into risk assets
    • Globalization of resourcing and capital flows has invalidated much traditional macro-economic theory regarding economic cycles
    • Differentiation between EM economies which have trade surpluses/deficits
    • Examination of negative feedback loops for EM markets when advanced economies reduce their accommodative monetary policy
    • Examination of ETF’s which provide exposure to emerging market equity and debt
    • Analysis of correlation between emerging market equities and commodities
    • Challenges and strategies for hedging and managing risk of emerging market equities because of lack of depth in markets for hedging exotic currencies
  • Techniques For Forecasting Expected Returns
    • Risk Factor Asset allocation strategies – reversing the trend of MPT and focusing on specific factors which “account” for asset class behaviour
    • Identifying key risk factors as drivers of asset prices
    • Insights from behavioural finance – risk seeking versus risk aversion
    • Long term correlations amongst asset classes – mean reversion
    • Contrarian indicators – sentiment, positioning of traders, hedge funds
    • Is there any evidence of asset returns having cyclical behavior?
  • Overview of Equity Based Derivatives
    • Terminology – underlying, spot markets, options, futures, swaps
      • Initial margin, variation margin, cost of carry, basis risk
      • Equity index futures contracts
      • Options on individual equities and equity indices
      • American, European, Asian style
    • Puts and calls – perspective of buyer and writer.
    • Risk elements of derivatives
      • Counterparty risk, Market risk, Liquidity risk
      • Risks to the buyer of futures/options
      • Risks to the writer/seller of futures/options
    • Explain the key contrasts between Exchange traded versus Over-the-counter (OTC) derivatives
    • Central clearing versus counterparty risk
    • Role of options/futures in hedging equity portfolios
    • Role of Total Return Swaps – collateral issues, lessons from Archegos debacle
  • Managing Risk for Equity Portfolios
    • Main types of portfolio risk
      • Market risk – asset price volatility, currency, interest rates etc.
      • Investment horizon and holding period.
      • Systemic and tail risk
    • Principles used to mitigate portfolio risk:
    • Seeking relatively uncorrelated assets
    • Benefits/limitations of diversification
    • Use of derivatives in hedging and risk management
    • Modeling risk scenarios – stress testing, stress regression based on outlier values, tools of statistical analysis, Monte Carlo simulations, back testing.
    • Tail risk protection strategies
  • Smart Beta Strategies
    • Review of the logic behind smart beta – risk factor asset allocation models
    • Examination of the performance of various widely used smart beta ETF’s.
    • Crowding and herding issues with smart beta strategies
    • Are the promises provided by smart beta ETF sponsors warranted?
  • ESG Strategies
    • Examine arguments for and against ESG in relation to investment performance and effectiveness.
    • Analyze how ESG can create both risks and opportunities for investors.
    • Review case studies and actual examples of decision making regarding ESG.
  • Concluding Themes
    • The benefits of strategic investment vs. short term trading and market timing
    • Recognition that investor behavior can be emotion driven in the short term but more calculated over longer term horizons.
    • Sources of bias in decision making and judgment in asset allocation
    • Establishing investment objectives that can be defined, quantified, and achieved successfully.
    • Importance of periodic re-balancing and refreshment of portfolios
    • Synthesis of different asset allocation approaches
    • Macro-economic top-down allocation
    • Micro-economic bottom-up allocation

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